November 24, 2006

Housing Correction Has Further to Run

Housing Correction Has Further to Run

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According to an updated forecast for 2007 released by a real estate industry group, the housing market correction has further to run, with new-home construction expected to fall another 12% next year.

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While the market for existing homes will probably flatten out, the new-home market will probably continue to slow through next year, said David Lereah, chief economist for the National Association of Realtors.

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Sales prices are expected to rise slightly. "Given the huge gains in home values during the housing boom, and this year's rise in housing inventory, overall price gains this year and next will be modest," Lereah said. Median existing-home prices are expected to rise 1.7% next year, while new-home prices are expected to rise 1.3%.

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Housing starts will probably fall about 12% next year to 1.63 million after falling 11% this year, he said. Starts totaled 2.07 million in 2005.

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